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Question
Why can a strong non-farm payrolls reading cause equity markets to fall?
1
Strong employment data causes the Federal Reserve to immediately raise interest rates on the same day
2
The non-farm payrolls report is only relevant to bond markets, and falling bonds automatically pull equities lower
3
Markets price expectations rather than outcomes — if the actual figure exceeds the whisper number or consensus, it raises expectations of tighter monetary policy, which can weigh on equity valuations
4
Strong employment always signals inflation, which directly reduces corporate profits
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